Global trends in chronic kidney disease-related mortality: a systematic review protocol.

INTRODUCTION: In recent decades, all-cause mortality has increased among individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD), influenced by factors such as aetiology, standards of care and access to kidney replacement therapies (dialysis and transplantation). The recent COVID-19 pandemic also affected mortality over the past few years. Here, we outline the protocol for a systematic review to investigate global temporal trends in all-cause mortality among patients with CKD at any stage from 1990 to current. We also aim to assess temporal trends in the mortality rate associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will conduct a systematic review of studies reporting mortality for patients with CKD following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We will search electronic databases, national and multiregional kidney registries and grey literature to identify observational studies that reported on mortality associated with any cause for patients with CKD of all ages with any stage of the disease. We will collect data between April and August 2023 to include all studies published from 1990 to August 2023. There will be no language restriction, and clinical trials will be excluded. Primary outcome will be temporal trends in CKD-related mortality. Secondary outcomes include assessing mortality differences before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, exploring causes of death and examining trends across CKD stages, country classifications, income levels and demographics. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: A systematic review will analyse existing data from previously published studies and have no direct involvement with patient data. Thus, ethical approval is not required. Our findings will be published in an open-access peer-reviewed journal and presented at scientific conferences. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023416084.

Occupational risks associated with chronic kidney disease of non-traditional origin (CKDnt) in Brazil: it is time to dig deeper into a neglected problem.

In the past decades, an epidemic of chronic kidney disease (CKD) has been associated with environmental and occupational factors (heat stress from high workloads in hot temperatures and exposure to chemicals, such as pesticides and metals), which has been termed CKD of non-traditional origin (CKDnt). This descriptive review aims to present recent evidence about heat stress, pesticides, and metals as possible causes of CKDnt and provide an overview of the related Brazilian regulation, enforcement, and health surveillance strategies. Brazilian workers are commonly exposed to extreme heat conditions and other CKDnt risk factors, including increasing exposure to pesticides and metals. Furthermore, there is a lack of adequate regulation (and enforcement), public policies, and strategies to protect the kidney health of workers, considering the main risk factors. CKDnt is likely to be a significant cause of CKD in Brazil, since CKD's etiology is unknown in many patients and several conditions for its development are present in the country. Further epidemiological studies may be conducted to explore causal associations and estimate the impact of heat, pesticides, and metals on CKDnt in Brazil. Moreover, public policies should prioritize reducing workers´ exposure and promoting their health and safety.

Metabolic dysfunction, rather than obesity, is a risk factor for chronic kidney disease in Chinese population.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction and obesity are closely related to chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, studies on the relationship between various metabolic syndrome-body mass index (MetS-BMI) phenotypes and the risk of CKD in the Chinese population have not yet been explored. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) 2015 were analyzed in this study. This study enrolled 12,054 participants. Participants were divided into six distinct groups according to their MetS-BMI status. Across the different MetS-BMI groups, the odd ratios (ORs) for CKD were determined using multivariable logistic regression models. RESULTS: The prevalence of CKD was higher in metabolically unhealthy groups than in the corresponding healthy groups. Moreover, the fully adjusted model showed that all metabolically unhealthy individuals had an increased risk of developing CKD compared to the metabolically healthy normal weight group (OR = 1.62, p = 0.002 for the metabolically unhealthy normal weight group; OR = 1.55, p < 0.001 for the metabolically unhealthy overweight group; and OR = 1.77, p < 0.001 for the metabolically unhealthy obesity group. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to evaluate the relationship between the MetS-BMI phenotype and renal prognosis in the Chinese population. Individuals with normal weights are at different risk of developing CKD depending on their different metabolic phenotypes.

Heavy metal association with chronic kidney disease of unknown cause in central India-results from a case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic Kidney Disease of unknown cause (CKDu) a disease of exclusion, and remains unexplained in various parts of the world, including India. Previous studies have reported mixed findings about the role of heavy metals or agrochemicals in CKDu. These studies compared CKDu with healthy controls but lacked subjects with CKD as controls. The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis whether heavy metals, i.e. Arsenic (As), Cadmium (Cd), Lead (Pb), and Chromium (Cr) are associated with CKDu, in central India. METHODS: The study was conducted in a case-control manner at a tertiary care hospital. CKDu cases (n = 60) were compared with CKD (n = 62) and healthy subjects (n = 54). Blood and urine levels of As, Cd, Pb, and Cr were measured by Inductively Coupled Plasma- Optical Emission Spectrometry. Pesticide use, painkillers, smoking, and alcohol addiction were also evaluated. The median blood and urine metal levels were compared among the groups by the Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test. RESULTS: CKDu had significantly higher pesticide and surface water usage as a source of drinking water. Blood As levels (median, IQR) were significantly higher in CKDu 91.97 (1.3-132.7) µg/L compared to CKD 4.5 (0.0-58.8) µg/L and healthy subjects 39.01 (4.8-67.4) µg/L (p < 0.001) On multinominal regression age and sex adjusted blood As was independently associated with CKDu[ OR 1.013 (95%CI 1.003-1.024) P < .05].Blood and urinary Cd, Pb, and Cr were higher in CKD compared to CKDu (p > .05). Urinary Cd, Pb and Cr were undetectable in healthy subjects and were significantly higher in CKDu and CKD compared to healthy subjects (P = < 0.001). There was a significant correlation of Cd, Pb and Cr in blood and urine with each other in CKDu and CKD subjects as compared to healthy subjects. Surface water use also associated with CKDu [OR 3.178 (95%CI 1.029-9.818) p < .05). CONCLUSION: The study showed an independent association of age and sex adjusted blood As with CKDu in this Indian cohort. Subjects with renal dysfunction (CKDu and CKD) were found to have significantly higher metal burden of Pb, Cd, As, and Cr as compared to healthy controls. CKDu subjects had significantly higher pesticide and surface water usage, which may be the source of differential As exposure in these subjects.

Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease attributable to high fasting plasma glucose from 1990 to 2019: a systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019.

Purpose: Given the rising prevalence of high fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) over the past three decades, it is crucial to assess its global, national, and regional impact on chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study aims to investigate the burden of CKD attributed to HFPG and its distribution across various levels. Methods and materials: The data for this research was sourced from the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019. To estimate the burden of CKD attributed to HFPG, we utilized DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. The burden was measured using age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate. Correlation analysis was performed using the Spearman rank order correlation method. Temporal trends were analyzed by estimating the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Results: Globally in 2019, there were a total of 487.97 thousand deaths and 13,093.42 thousand DALYs attributed to CKD attributed to HFPG, which represent a substantial increase of 153.8% and 120%, respectively, compared to 1990. Over the period from 1990 to 2019, the burden of CKD attributable to HFPG increased across all regions, with the highest increases observed in regions with high socio-demographic index (SDI) and middle SDI. Regions with lower SDI exhibited higher ASMR and age-standardized DALYs (ASDR) compared to developed nations at the regional level. Additionally, the EAPC values, which indicate the rate of increase, were significantly higher in these regions compared to developed nations. Notably, high-income North America, belonging to the high SDI regions, experienced the greatest increase in both ASMR and ASDR over the past three decades. Furthermore, throughout the years from 1990 to 2019, males bore a greater burden of CKD attributable to HFPG. Conclusion: With an increasing population and changing dietary patterns, the burden of CKD attributed to HFPG is expected to worsen. From 1990 to 2019, males and developing regions have experienced a more significant burden. Notably, the EAPC values for both ASMR and ASDR were higher in males and regions with lower SDI (excluding high-income North America). This emphasizes the pressing requirement for effective interventions to reduce the burden of CKD attributable to HFPG.

Exposure to low levels of heavy metals and chronic kidney disease in the US population: A cross sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to heavy metals (cadmium, mercury, and lead) has been linked with adverse health outcomes, especially their nephrotoxic effects at high levels of exposure. We conducted a replication study to examine the association of low-level heavy metal exposure and chronic kidney disease (CKD) using a larger NHANES data set compared to previous studies. METHODS: The large cross-sectional study comprised 5,175 CKD cases out of 55677 participants aged 20-85 years from the 1999-2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey [NHANES]. Logistic regression analysis was applied to estimate the associations between CKD and heavy metals [Cd, Pb, Hg] measured as categorical variables after adjusting with age, race, gender, socioeconomic status, hypertension, diabetes mellitus and blood cotinine level as smoking status. RESULTS: Compared to the lowest quartile of blood Cd, exposures to the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quartiles of blood Cd were statistically significantly associated with higher odds of CKD after adjustment for blood Pb and Hg, with OR = 1.79, [95% CI; 1.55-2.07, p<0.0001], OR = 2.17, [95% CI; 1.88-2.51, p<0.0001] and OR = 1.52, [95% CI; 1.30-1.76, p<0.0001] respectively. The 2nd, 3rd and 4th quartiles of blood Cd remained statistically significantly associated with higher odds of CKD after adjustment for blood cotinine level, with OR = 2.06, [95% CI; 1.80-2.36, p<0.0001], OR = 3.18, [95% CI; 2.79-3.63, p<0.0001] and OR = 5.54, [95% CI; 4.82-6.37, p<0.0001] respectively. Exposure to blood Pb was statistically significantly associated with higher odds of CKD in the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quartile groups, after adjustment for all co-variates (ag, gender, race, socio-economic status, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, blood cadmium, mercury, and cotinine levels) in all the four models. Blood Hg level was statistically significantly associated with lower odds of CKD in the 2nd quartile group in model 2, 3rd quartile group in model 1, 2 and 3, and the 4th quartile group in all the four models. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings showed that low blood levels of Cd and Pb were associated with higher odds of CKD while low blood levels of Hg were associated with lower odds of CKD in the US adult population. However, temporal association cannot be determined as it is a cross sectional study.

Play it safe: renal function after bilateral flexible ureteroscopy for kidney stones.

PURPOSE: We searched for perioperative renal function deterioration risk factors in patients that underwent bilateral flexible ureteroscopy (fURS) for kidney stones. METHODS: From August 2016 to February 2020, symptomatic patients > 18 years old with bilateral kidney stones up to 20 mm in each side were prospectively studied. Serum creatinine samples were collected on admission to surgery, immediate postoperative (IPO), on POD 3, 10, and 30. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equation (CKD-EPI) without a race coefficient. RESULTS: Thirty patients underwent bilateral fURS. Comparing to preoperative eGFR, median IPO and POD3 eGFR (p < 0.001) were significantly lower, and POD10 (p = 0.092) and POD30 (p = 0.648) were similar to preoperative eGFR. During follow-up, 22/30 (73.3%), 14/30 (46.7%), and 7/30 (23.3%) of the patients presented a decrease > 10% eGFR, > 20% eGFR, and > 30% eGFR, respectively. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that lower preoperative eGFR is a risk factor for eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, p = 0.019 [1.021-1.263; 1.136]; ASA > 1 is a risk factor for decrease of eGFR > 10%, p = 0.028 [1.25-51.13; 8.00]; longer operative time is a risk factor for decrease of eGFR > 20%, p = 0.042 [1.00-1.05; 1.028]; and operative time ≥ 120 min is a risk factor for decrease of eGFR > 30%, p = 0.026 [0.016-0.773; 0.113]. CONCLUSIONS: Renal function suffers a reversible decrease after bilateral fURS. Our study suggests that adequate selection of patients and maintaining operative time < 120 min are relevant factors in preventing acute renal function deterioration following bilateral fURS.

A pilot study to explore patterns and predictors of delayed kidney decline after cardiopulmonary bypass.

There is no current consensus on the follow up of kidney function in patients undergoing cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). The main objectives of this pilot study is to collect preliminary data on kidney function decline encountered on the first postoperative visit of patients who have had CPB and to identify predictors of kidney function decline post hospital discharge. Design: Retrospective chart review. Adult patients undergoing open heart procedures utilizing CPB. Patient demographics, type of procedure, pre-, intra-, and postoperative clinical, hemodynamic echocardiographic, and laboratory data were abstracted from electronic medical records. Acute kidney disease (AKD), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) were diagnosed based on standardized criteria. Interval change in medications, hospital admissions, and exposure to contrast, from hospital discharge till first postoperative visit were collected. AKD, and CKD as defined by standardized criteria on first postoperative visit. 83 patients were available for analysis. AKD occurred in 27 (54%) of 50 patients and CKD developed in 12 (42%) out of 28 patients. Older age was associated with the development of both AKD and CKD. Reduction in right ventricular cardiac output at baseline was associated with AKD (OR: 0.5, 95% CI: 0.3, 0.79, P = 0.01). Prolongation of transmitral early diastolic filling wave deceleration time was associated with CKD (OR: 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.05, P = 0.03). In-hospital acute kidney injury (AKI) was a predictor of neither AKD nor CKD. AKD and CKD occur after CPB and may not be predicted by in-hospital AKI. Older age, right ventricular dysfunction and diastolic dysfunction are important disease predictors. An adequately powered longitudinal study is underway to study more sensitive predictors of delayed forms of kidney decline after CPB.

Residual renal volume as a long-term independent predictive factor of developing chronic kidney disease after donor nephrectomy.

To assess the long-term association between the residual renal volume and the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in kidney donors following open or laparoscopic donor nephrectomy. A retrospective observational study involving 452 individuals who underwent open or laparoscopic donor nephrectomy at Ramathibodi Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand. The study spanned over a comprehensive 60-month monitoring period. Residual renal volume was determined through Computer Tomography. Patient characteristics, surgical techniques, donated kidney side, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were collected and analysed. In a multivariate analysis, a residual renal volume exceeding 50% of original volume is associated with an increased likelihood of developing CKD, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.675 (P < 0.05), and male gender has a hazard ratio (HR) of 4.013 (P < 0.001). Additionally, age is identified as a minor risk factor for developing CKD, with hazard ratio (HR) of 1.107 (P < 0.001). Higher residual renal volume, male gender, and older age were identified as independent risk factors for the development of CKD following open or laparoscopic donor nephrectomy during long-term follow-up.

Incident comorbidities in patients with chronic hypoparathyroidism after thyroidectomy: a multicenter nationwide study.

Purpose: Population-based and registry studies have shown that chronic hypoparathyroidism is accompanied by long-term complications. We aimed to evaluate the risk of incident comorbidity among patients with chronic postsurgical hypoparathyroidism in real-life clinical practice in Spain. Methods: We performed a multicenter, retrospective cohort study including patients with chronic postsurgical hypoparathyroidism lasting ≥3 years with at least a follow-up visit between January 1, 2022 and September 15, 2023 (group H). The prevalence and incidence of chronic complications including chronic kidney disease, nephrolithiasis/nephrocalcinosis, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, central nervous system disease, mental health disorders, eye disorders, bone mineral density alterations, fracture and cancer were evaluated. Patient data were compared with a group of patients who did not develop hypoparathyroidism, matched by gender, age, and follow-up time after thyroidectomy (group NH). Results: We included 337 patients in group H (median [IQR] age, 45 [36-56] years; median time of follow-up, 8.9 [6.0-13.0] years; women, 84.3%) and 669 in group NH (median age, 47 [37-55] years; median time of follow-up, 8.0 [5.3-12.0] years; women, 84.9%). No significant differences were found in the prevalence of comorbidities at the time of thyroidectomy between both groups. In multivariable adjusted analysis, patients with chronic hypoparathyroidism had significantly higher risk of incident chronic kidney disease (OR, 3.45; 95% CI, 1.72-6.91; P<0.001), nephrolithiasis (OR, 3.34; 95% CI, 1.55-7.22; P=0.002), and cardiovascular disease (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.14-3.60; P=0.016), compared with patients without hypoparathyroidism. On the contrary, the risk of fracture was decreased in patients with hypoparathyroidism (OR, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.01-0.70; P=0.021). Conclusion: This study demonstrates that, in the clinical practice of Spanish endocrinologists, a significant increase in the risk of chronic kidney disease, nephrolithiasis and cardiovascular disease, as well as a reduction in the risk of fractures is detected. These results are of interest for the development of new clinical guidelines and monitoring protocols for patients with hypoparathyroidism.

A short treatment with resveratrol after a renal ischaemia-reperfusion injury prevents maladaptive repair and long-term chronic kidney disease in rats.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) often triggers physiological processes aimed at restoring renal function and architecture. However, this response can become maladaptive, leading to nephron loss and fibrosis. Although the therapeutic effects of resveratrol (RSV) are well established, its impact after AKI and for subsequent chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. This study assessed whether transient administration of RSV following ischaemia-reperfusion injury (IRI) could prevent the progression to CKD. Forty-one male Wistar rats were assigned randomly to sham surgery, bilateral renal ischaemia for 30 min (IR) or IR+RSV. The RSV treatment commenced 24 h after IRI and continued for 10 days. The rats were studied for either 10 days or 5 months, after which kidney function and structure were evaluated. Mitochondrial homeostasis, oxidant defence and renal inflammation state were also evaluated. Despite having the same severity of AKI, rats receiving RSV for 10 days after IRI exhibited significant improvement in kidney histological injury and reduced inflammation, although renal haemodynamic recovery was less pronounced. Resveratrol effectively prevented the elevation of tubular injury-related molecules and profibrotic signalling with reduced myofibroblast proliferation. Furthermore, RSV substantially improved the antioxidant response and mitochondrial homeostasis. After 5 months, RSV prevented the transition to CKD, as evidenced by the prevention of progressive proteinuria, renal dysfunction and tubulointerstitial fibrosis. This study demonstrates that a brief treatment with RSV following IRI is enough to prevent maladaptive repair and the development of CKD. Our findings highlight the importance of the early days of reperfusion, indicating that maladaptive responses can be reduced effectively following severe AKI. KEY POINTS: Physiological processes activated after acute kidney injury (AKI) can lead to maladaptive responses, causing nephron loss and fibrosis. Prophylactic renoprotection with resveratrol (RSV) has been described in experimental AKI, but its impact after AKI and for subsequent chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. In this study, we found that histological tubular injury persists 10 days after ischaemia-reperfusion injury and contributes to a failed repair phenotype in proximal tubular cells. Short-term RSV intervention influenced the post-ischaemic repair response and accelerated tubular recovery by reducing oxidative stress and mitochondrial damage. Furthermore, RSV targeted inflammation and profibrotic signalling during the maladaptive response, normalizing both processes. Resveratrol effectively prevented AKI-to-CKD transition even 5 months after the intervention. The study serves as a proof of concept, proposing RSV as a valuable candidate for further translational clinical studies to mitigate AKI-to-CKD transition.

Remnant cholesterol is an independent risk factor for the incidence of chronic kidney disease in newly-diagnosed type 2 diabetes: A nationwide population-based study.

AIMS: To evaluate the impact of remnant cholesterol (remnant-C) on chronic kidney disease (CKD) incidence in newly-diagnosed type 2 diabetes. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used Korean National Health Insurance Service data on 212,836 patients with newly-diagnosed type 2 diabetes between 2009 and 2014. We conducted cox regression analysis to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for developing CKD according to remnant-C tertile. RESULTS: During a median follow-up duration of 5.23 years, 6,850 CKD cases developed. In the fully adjusted model, HRs and 95 % CIs for incident CKD increased in the highest tertile of baseline remnant-C compared to the lowest (HR [95 % CI]; 1.234 [1.159-1.314]). This association was more prominent in patients with hypertension or low-income status (P for interaction < 0.05). Increased HRs in the highest tertile of remnant-C was sustained in type 2 diabetes patients within target range of conventional lipid profile such as low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) < 100 mg/dL and < 70 mg/dL (1.165 [1.041-1.304] and 1.308 [1.063-1.609]), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (1.243 [1.155-1.338]) and triglyceride (1.168 [1.076-1.268]), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In newly-diagnosed type 2 diabetes patients, higher remnant-C is independently associated with CKD incidence, even when conventional lipid values are well-controlled.

Machine learning models for predicting the onset of chronic kidney disease after surgery in patients with renal cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) have an elevated risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) following nephrectomy. Therefore, continuous monitoring and subsequent interventions are necessary. It is recommended to evaluate renal function postoperatively. Therefore, a tool to predict CKD onset is essential for postoperative follow-up and management. METHODS: We constructed a cohort using data from eight tertiary hospitals from the Korean Renal Cell Carcinoma (KORCC) database. A dataset of 4389 patients with RCC was constructed for analysis from the collected data. Nine machine learning (ML) models were used to classify the occurrence and nonoccurrence of CKD after surgery. The final model was selected based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC), and the importance of the variables constituting the model was confirmed using the shapley additive explanation (SHAP) value and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses. RESULTS: The gradient boost algorithm was the most effective among the various ML models tested. The gradient boost model demonstrated superior performance with an AUROC of 0.826. The SHAP value confirmed that preoperative eGFR, albumin level, and tumor size had a significant impact on the occurrence of CKD after surgery. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a model to predict CKD onset after surgery in patients with RCC. This predictive model is a quantitative approach to evaluate post-surgical CKD risk in patients with RCC, facilitating improved prognosis through personalized postoperative care.

Association of combined healthy lifestyle with risk of adverse outcomes in patients with prediabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Prediabetes and lifestyle factors have been associated with the risks of multiple adverse outcomes, but the effect of a healthy lifestyle on prediabetes-related complications remains unknown. We aimed to investigate whether the risks of multiple adverse outcomes including incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) among individuals with prediabetes can be offset by a broad combination of healthy lifestyle factors. METHODS: This prospective study used data from the UK Biobank cohort. An overall lifestyle score ranging from 0 to 6 was created with 1 point for each of the 6 healthy lifestyle factors: no current smoking, moderate alcohol consumption, regular physical activity, healthy diet, no overweight or obese, and adequate sleep duration. T2DM, CVD, and CKD were ascertained during a median follow-up of 14 years. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate the associations. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the results. RESULTS: We included 202,993 participants without T2DM, CVD, and CKD at baseline (mean age 55.5 years [SD 8.1]; 54.7% were women). Among these participants, 6,745, 16,961, and 6,260 participants eventually developed T2DM, CVD, and CKD, respectively. Compared with the participants with normoglycaemia, those with prediabetes showed a higher risk of these adverse outcomes. In addition, those prediabetic participants with a lifestyle score of 0-1 had a significantly higher risk of T2DM (hazard ratio [HR] 16.73, 95% CI 14.24, 19.65), CVD (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.74, 2.21), and CKD (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.58, 2.34) compared with those with no prediabetes and a score of 5-6. Moreover, among the participants with prediabetes, the HRs for T2DM, CVD, and CKD comparing a lifestyle score of 5-6 versus 0-1 decreased to 0.43 (95% CI 0.36, 0.51), 0.52 (95% CI 0.44, 0.62), and 0.60 (95% CI 0.46, 0.79), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Combined healthy lifestyle factors were associated with a significantly lower risk of multiple adverse outcomes, including T2DM, CVD, and CKD. This indicates that prioritising multifactorial approaches to behavioural lifestyle modification is crucial for preventing and postponing the development of complications related to prediabetes.

Metabolic health's central role in chronic kidney disease progression: a 20-year study of obesity-metabolic phenotype transitions.

This study investigates the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) across four metabolic phenotypes: Metabolically Healthy-No Obesity (MH-NO), Metabolically Unhealthy-No obesity (MU-NO), Metabolically Healthy-Obesity (MH-O), and Metabolically Unhealthy-Obesity (MU-O). Data from the Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study, collected from 1999 to 2020, were used to categorize participants based on a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and metabolic health status, defined by the presence of three or four of the following components: high blood pressure, elevated triglycerides, low high-density lipoprotein, and high fasting blood sugar. CKD, characterized by a glomerular filtration rate < 60 ml/min/1.72 m2. The hazard ratio (HR) of CKD risk was evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. The study included 8731 participants, with an average age of 39.93 years, and identified 734 incidents of CKD. After adjusting for covariates, the MU-O group demonstrated the highest risk of CKD progression (HR 1.42-1.87), followed by the MU-NO group (HR 1.33-1.67), and the MH-O group (HR 1.18-1.54). Persistent MU-NO and MU-O posed the highest CKD risk compared to transitional states, highlighting the significance of exposure during early adulthood. These findings emphasize the independent contributions of excess weight and metabolic health, along with its components, to CKD risk. Therefore, preventive strategies should prioritize interventions during early-adulthood.

Comparison of chronic kidney disease progression and associated complications between geriatric and non-geriatric groups.

There is no consensus on the physiologic decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) due to geriatric conditions related with the aging or chronic kidney disease (CKD) itself. In this study, we aimed to compare the CKD progression and associated complications in a large sample of geriatric and non-geriatric patients. The data of in 506 patients at age between 30 to 90 years and diagnosed with CKD at stage 2 and above (15 mL/min/1.73 m2 ≤ eGFR < 90 mL/min/1.73 m2) were collected retrospectively and compared among geriatric (>65 years old) and non-geriatric individuals. The rate of hypertension was higher in geriatrics compared to non-geriatrics (96.6% vs 91.9%, P = .04). Among laboratory findings, only PTH level was significantly lower and HCO3 concentration was higher in geriatrics compared to non-geriatrics (P = .02, P < .001, respectively). There was no significant difference in last measured eGFR (P = .99) while that measured 4 years ago was lower in geriatrics compared to that of non-geriatrics (P < .001). eGFR change was smaller in geriatrics compared to non-geriatrics (P < .001), and rate of progressive renal disease among non-geriatric group (39%) was found to be significantly higher than in the geriatrics (17.2%) (P < .001). The prevalence of hyperkalemia was lower in geriatrics at stage 3a (P = .02); prevalence of hyperparathyroidism was lower in those at stage 3b (P = .02) and lastly the acidosis was observed significantly lower in geriatric patients at stage 3a, 3b, and 4 compared to the non-geriatrics at corresponding stages (P < .001, P = .03, and P = .04, respectively). The eGFR change was significantly smaller in geriatrics at stage 3b and 4 (P < .001 and P = .04, respectively) while the rate of progressed renal disease was lower in geriatrics at stage 3a and 3b (21.1% vs 9.9%, P = .03 and 41.2% vs 11.1%, P < .001, respectively). eGFR change in 4-year period and the rates of progressive renal disease are higher in the non-geriatrics and also the prevalence of secondary complications of CKD, such as hyperparathyroidism, acidosis, and hyperkalemia, are higher in non-geriatrics. This may reflect that decline of GFR in geriatric individuals is at least partially related to physiological aging rather than kidney disease. Therefore, devising age related CKD definitions might be appropriate.

Decreasing incidence of hospital diagnosed CKD/CKDu in North Central Province of Sri Lanka: is it related to provision of drinking water reverse osmosis plants?

BACKGROUND: We assessed the possible impact of provision of reverse osmosis (RO) water on the incidence of hospital diagnosed CKD/CKDu in North Central Province (NCP) of Sri Lanka. METHODS: An ecological study was conducted on data from 2010-2020 on the incidence of hospital diagnosed CKD/CKDu, CKD/CKDu screening and provision of drinking water RO plants in NCP. Analysis was conducted using descriptive statistics, ANOVA and chi-square test. RESULTS: The annual incidence of hospital diagnosed CKD/CKDu (per 100 000 population) in 2010-2013, 2014-2016 and 2017-2020 periods in Anuradhapura district were 129.07, 331.06 and 185.57 (p = 0.002) while in Polonnaruwa district these were 149.29, 326.12 and 296.73 (p = 0.04) respectively. In NCP provision of RO plants commenced after 2011 and the decline in the incidence of hospital diagnosed CKD/CKDu was seen in 25 of the 29 Divisional Secretary Divisions when more than 20% of the families received access to drinking RO water projects. CONCLUSIONS: The annual incidence of hospital diagnosed CKD/CKDu increased in NCP from 2010 to 2016 and continuously decreased thereafter. Continuous declining of CKD/CKDu incidence was seen after more than 20% of the families received access to drinking water RO plants.

Identification of risk factors and development of a predictive model for chronic kidney disease in patients with obesity: a four-year cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: The sneaky onset and dismal prognosis of chronic kidney disease (CKD) make it an important public health issue. Obesity-related kidney illness has garnered more attention in recent times. Establishing and validating a risk prediction model for chronic renal illness in overweight or obese adults was the goal of this investigation. METHODS: Data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study were used for analysis. The definition of CKD was reduced renal function (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m²), while overweight and obesity were characterized through a body mass index exceeding 24 kg/m². The dataset was divided into derivation and validation cohorts using a 7:3 ratio. With respect to the derivation cohort, we constructed a prediction model using LASSO analysis and multivariate logistic regression. The model's performance was evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow tests, calibration curves, decision curve analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The validation cohort's model was subjected to additional assessment. RESULTS: The study was based on survey data from 2011 to 2015 and comprised 3246 individuals who were overweight or obese, with 2274 being part of the derivation cohort and 972 being part of the validation cohort. The research constructed a prediction model that included age, sex, fasting blood glucose, glycated hemoglobin, triglyceride, hypertension, and BMI. The validation cohort's area under the ROC curve was 0.812 (95% CI = 0.763, 0.859) while the derivation cohort's was 0.789 (95% CI = 0.754, 0.831). Hosmer-Lemeshow tests were utilized to evaluate the model's accuracy in the validation and derivation cohorts (P = 0.681 and 0.547, respectively). The calibration curve showed a high level of consistency between the actual observations and the projected outcomes. According to decision curve analysis, the model offered significant net advantages. CONCLUSIONS: The forecasting model established in this research has predictive value for CKD in patients with overweight or obesity. These findings could help doctors conduct early detection and intervention in clinical practice and further improve patient prognosis.

Higher potassium intake is associated with a lower risk of chronic kidney disease: population-based prospective study.

BACKGROUND: High-potassium intake is associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease. However, the association between potassium intake and the development of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to investigate whether potassium intake is associated with outcomes of incident CKD. METHODS: This is a population-based prospective observational cohort study from the UK Biobank cohort between 2006 and 2010. We included 317,162 participants without CKD from the UK Biobank cohort. The main predictor was spot urine potassium-to-creatinine ratio (KCR). The primary outcome was incident CKD, which was defined by the International Classification of Disease 10 codes or Operating Procedure Codes Supplement 4 codes. RESULTS: At baseline, individuals with higher KCR had lower blood pressure, body mass index, and inflammation, and were less likely to have diabetes and hypertension. During a median follow-up of 11.9 y, primary outcome events occurred in 15,246 (4.8%) participants. In the cause-specific model, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) per 1-standard deviation increase in KCR for incident CKD was 0.90 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89, 0.92]. Compared with quartile 1 of KCR, the aHRs (95% CIs) for quartiles 2-4 were 0.98 (0.94, 1.02), 0.90 (0.86, 0.95), and 0.80 (0.76, 0.84), respectively. In sensitivity analysis with different definitions of CKD, the results were similar. In addition, further analysis with dietary potassium intake also showed a negatively graded association with the primary outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Higher urinary potassium excretion and intake were associated with a lower risk of incident CKD.

Metabolome evidence of CKDu risks after chronic exposure to simulated Sri Lanka drinking water in zebrafish.

It is still a serious public health issue that chronic kidney disease of uncertain etiology (CKDu) in Sri Lanka poses challenges in identification, prevention, and treatment. What environmental factors in drinking water cause kidney damage remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the risks of various environmental factors that may induce CKDu, including water hardness, fluoride (HF), heavy metals (HM), microcystin-LR (MC-LR), and their combined exposure (HFMM). The research focused on comprehensive metabolome analysis, and correlation with transcriptomic and gut microbiota changes. Results revealed that chronic exposure led to kidney damage and pancreatic toxicity in adult zebrafish. Metabolomics profiling showed significant alterations in biochemical processes, with enriched metabolic pathways of oxidative phosphorylation, folate biosynthesis, arachidonic acid metabolism, FoxO signaling pathway, lysosome, pyruvate metabolism, and purine metabolism. The network analysis revealed significant changes in metabolites associated with renal function and diseases, including 20-Hydroxy-LTE4, PS(18:0/22:2(13Z,16Z)), Neuromedin N, 20-Oxo-Leukotriene E4, and phenol sulfate, which are involved in the fatty acyls and glycerophospholipids class. These metabolites were closely associated with the disrupted gut bacteria of g_ZOR0006, g_Pseudomonas, g_Tsukamurella, g_Cetobacterium, g_Flavobacterium, which belonged to dominant phyla of Firmicutes and Proteobacteria, etc., and differentially expressed genes (DEGs) such as egln3, ca2, jun, slc2a1b, and gls2b in zebrafish. Exploratory omics analyses revealed the shared significantly changed pathways in transcriptome and metabolome like calcium signaling and necroptosis, suggesting potential biomarkers for assessing kidney disease.